Описание: This book critiques the reliance of Western intelligence agencies on the use of a method for intelligence analysis developed by the CIA in the 1990s, the Analysis of Competing Hypotheses (ACH).
Tests whether the analysis of competing hypotheses reduces cognitive bias, and proposes a more effective approach
Reveals that a key element of current training provided to the UK and US intelligence communities (and likely all 5-EYES and several European agencies) does not have a proven ability to mitigate cognitive biases
Demonstrates that judging the credibility of information from human sources means that intelligence analysis faces greater complexity and cognitive strain than non-intelligence analysis
Explains the underlying causes cognitive biases, based on meta-analyses of existing research
Shows that identifying the ideal conditions for intelligence analysis is a more effective way of reducing the risk of cognitive bias than the use of ACH
Recent high-profile intelligence failures – from 9/11 to the 2003 Iraq war – prove that cognitive bias in intelligence analysis can have catastrophic consequences. This book critiques the reliance of Western intelligence agencies on the use of a method for intelligence analysis developed by the CIA in the 1990s, the Analysis of Competing Hypotheses (ACH). The author puts ACH to the test in an experimental setting against two key cognitive biases with unique empirical research facilitated by UK’s Professional Heads of Intelligence Analysis unit at the Cabinet Office, and finds that the theoretical basis of the ACH method is significantly flawed. Combining the insight of a practitioner with over 11 years of experience in intelligence with both philosophical theory and experimental research, the author proposes an alternative approach to mitigating cognitive bias that focuses on creating the optimum environment for analysis, challenging current leading theories.
Описание: Intelligence andSecurity Oversight: An Annotated Bibliography and Comparative Analysis comprehensivelydemonstrates the powers and limitations placed with, and on, oversight bodies,appealing to academics, researchers and practitioners in the intelligence andsecurity environment.
Автор: Weaver John Michael Название: The U.S. Cybersecurity and Intelligence Analysis Challenges ISBN: 303095840X ISBN-13(EAN): 9783030958404 Издательство: Springer Рейтинг: Цена: 6097.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: One of the prevailing issues regarding security to North America and more pointedly, the United States, gravitates on the topic of cyber threats confronting this nation. Moreover, this project uses secondary data and makes use of the Federal Secondary Data Case Study Triangulation Model to ensure a balance of sources to dissect the problem.
Автор: Edson Ziso Название: A Post State-Centric Analysis of China-Africa Relations ISBN: 3319664522 ISBN-13(EAN): 9783319664521 Издательство: Springer Рейтинг: Цена: 12196.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: By thoroughly reviewing and deploying the `second image reversed` approach and the relational concept of state power analytical approaches, Ziso challenges the Western-centric Weberian conceptualization of state.
Описание: The book discusses the Pakistan factor in Indian foreign policy, covering the evolution of both Indian nationalism and Hindu nationalism and their impact on India`s foreign policy framework. To explain the bipartisanship on Pakistan in India, it separates party-centric foreign policy views of national parties of India.
Описание: The general assumption in the West is that the global economy and globalization are Western creations. Hobson brings into focus the many non-Western agents and processes that have been left out of mainstream accounts, counteracting the numerous blind-spots in conventional Eurocentric preconceptions about the world.
Описание: The Western liberal democratic world order, which seemingly triumphed following the collapse of communism, is looking increasingly fragile as populists and nationalists take power in the United States, Europe and elsewhere.
Описание: The Western liberal democratic world order, which seemingly triumphed following the collapse of communism, is looking increasingly fragile as populists and nationalists take power in the United States, Europe and elsewhere.
Автор: He Baogang Название: In Search of a People-Centric Order in Asia ISBN: 9813109769 ISBN-13(EAN): 9789813109766 Издательство: World Scientific Publishing Рейтинг: Цена: 19800.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: The order of international relations in Asia is predominantly state-centric. It is one based primarily on absolute national sovereignty, exclusive national identity and patriotic national citizenship.
Описание: This book is the first to provide an overview and a practical guide to the tools and methods of data gathering and assessment, standards of measurement in humanitarian action, interpretation strategies, and operational planning tools. Short hypothetical cases and practical examples illustrate and explain the tools detailed in each chapter.
Автор: Christopher J. Ferrero, Jonathan M. Acuff, Jonathan Smith, Joseph Fitsanakis, Lamesha Craft, Richard J. Kilroy, Jr. Название: Introduction to Intelligence: Institutions, Operations, and Analysis ISBN: 1544374674 ISBN-13(EAN): 9781544374673 Издательство: Sage Publications Рейтинг: Цена: 19800.00 р. Наличие на складе: Поставка под заказ.
Описание: Introduction to Intelligence: Institutions, Operations, and Analysis offers a strategic, international, and comparative approach to covering intelligence organizations and domestic security issues.
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