Tests whether the analysis of competing hypotheses reduces cognitive bias, and proposes a more effective approach
Reveals that a key element of current training provided to the UK and US intelligence communities (and likely all 5-EYES and several European agencies) does not have a proven ability to mitigate cognitive biases
Demonstrates that judging the credibility of information from human sources means that intelligence analysis faces greater complexity and cognitive strain than non-intelligence analysis
Explains the underlying causes cognitive biases, based on meta-analyses of existing research
Shows that identifying the ideal conditions for intelligence analysis is a more effective way of reducing the risk of cognitive bias than the use of ACH
Recent high-profile intelligence failures – from 9/11 to the 2003 Iraq war – prove that cognitive bias in intelligence analysis can have catastrophic consequences. This book critiques the reliance of Western intelligence agencies on the use of a method for intelligence analysis developed by the CIA in the 1990s, the Analysis of Competing Hypotheses (ACH). The author puts ACH to the test in an experimental setting against two key cognitive biases with unique empirical research facilitated by UK’s Professional Heads of Intelligence Analysis unit at the Cabinet Office, and finds that the theoretical basis of the ACH method is significantly flawed. Combining the insight of a practitioner with over 11 years of experience in intelligence with both philosophical theory and experimental research, the author proposes an alternative approach to mitigating cognitive bias that focuses on creating the optimum environment for analysis, challenging current leading theories.
Описание: This book critiques the reliance of Western intelligence agencies on the use of a method for intelligence analysis developed by the CIA in the 1990s, the Analysis of Competing Hypotheses (ACH).
Описание: Now in its Seventh Edition, Robert M. Clark`s Intelligence Analysis: A Target-Centric Approach once again delivers a consistent, clear method for teaching intelligence analysis in both introductory and advanced courses-including new case studies and a look at advances in the field.
Автор: Stenslie, Stig Название: Intelligence Analysis in the Digital Age ISBN: 036776699X ISBN-13(EAN): 9780367766993 Издательство: Taylor&Francis Рейтинг: Цена: 6889.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Автор: Christopher J. Ferrero, Jonathan M. Acuff, Jonathan Smith, Joseph Fitsanakis, Lamesha Craft, Richard J. Kilroy, Jr. Название: Introduction to Intelligence: Institutions, Operations, and Analysis ISBN: 1544374674 ISBN-13(EAN): 9781544374673 Издательство: Sage Publications Рейтинг: Цена: 19800.00 р. Наличие на складе: Поставка под заказ.
Описание: Introduction to Intelligence: Institutions, Operations, and Analysis offers a strategic, international, and comparative approach to covering intelligence organizations and domestic security issues.
Описание: Intelligence andSecurity Oversight: An Annotated Bibliography and Comparative Analysis comprehensivelydemonstrates the powers and limitations placed with, and on, oversight bodies,appealing to academics, researchers and practitioners in the intelligence andsecurity environment.
Описание: This book is the first to provide an overview and a practical guide to the tools and methods of data gathering and assessment, standards of measurement in humanitarian action, interpretation strategies, and operational planning tools. Short hypothetical cases and practical examples illustrate and explain the tools detailed in each chapter.
Описание: Should we regulate artificial intelligence? Can we? From self-driving cars and high-speed trading to algorithmic decision-making, the way we live, work, and play is increasingly dependent on AI systems. This book examines how our laws are dealing with AI, as well as what additional rules and institutions are needed.
Автор: Christou, George Название: Cybersecurity in the european union ISBN: 113740051X ISBN-13(EAN): 9781137400512 Издательство: Springer Рейтинг: Цена: 12196.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: Cybercrime affects over 1 million people worldwide a day, and cyber attacks on public institutions and businesses are increasing. This book interrogates the European Union`s evolving cybersecurity policies and strategy and argues that while progress is being made, much remains to be done to ensure a secure and resilient cyberspace in the future.
Описание: This book constructs a multidisciplinary approach to human security questions related to digitalisation in the European High North i.e. It challenges the mainstream conceptualisation of cybersecurity and reconstructs it with the human being as the referent object of security.
Описание: This book constructs a multidisciplinary approach to human security questions related to digitalisation in the European High North i.e. It challenges the mainstream conceptualisation of cybersecurity and reconstructs it with the human being as the referent object of security.
Описание: Essential reading for students and researchers in political science, international relations, international law, strategic and defence studies, computer science, and cognitive science.
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