Social Judgment and Decision Making, Krueger, Joachim I.

Автор: Tetlock Philip E.
Название: Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know?
ISBN: 0691175977 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780691175973
Издательство: Wiley
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Описание:

Since its original publication, Expert Political Judgment by New York Times bestselling author Philip Tetlock has established itself as a contemporary classic in the literature on evaluating expert opinion.

etlock first discusses arguments about whether the world is too complex for people to find the tools to understand political phenomena, let alone predict the future. He evaluates predictions from experts in different fields, comparing them to predictions by well-informed laity or those based on simple extrapolation from current trends. He goes on to analyze which styles of thinking are more successful in forecasting. Classifying thinking styles using Isaiah Berlin's prototypes of the fox and the hedgehog, Tetlock contends that the fox--the thinker who knows many little things, draws from an eclectic array of traditions, and is better able to improvise in response to changing events--is more successful in predicting the future than the hedgehog, who knows one big thing, toils devotedly within one tradition, and imposes formulaic solutions on ill-defined problems. He notes a perversely inverse relationship between the best scientific indicators of good judgement and the qualities that the media most prizes in pundits--the single-minded determination required to prevail in ideological combat.

Автор: Gigerenzer Gerd
Название: Simply Rational: Decision Making in the Real World
ISBN: 019939007X ISBN-13(EAN): 9780199390076
Издательство: Oxford Academ
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Цена: 16273.00 р.
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Описание: This volume of collected papers brings together applied and theoretical research on risks and decision making in the fields of medicine, psychology, and economics.

Автор: Theo Offerman
Название: Beliefs and Decision Rules in Public Good Games
ISBN: 0792399919 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780792399919
Издательство: Springer
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Цена: 20733.00 р.
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Описание: Part I provides an introduction to this study of players` beliefs and decision rules in to obtain data in order to public good games. Chapter 2 provides an overview of psychological and economic ideas concerning players` beliefs and decision rules in public good games.

Автор: Norman Schofield
Название: Collective Decision-Making:
ISBN: 0792397118 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780792397113
Издательство: Springer
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Цена: 26711.00 р.
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Описание: Provides a perspective on collective decision-making, presenting economic and political aspects from both a theoretical and empirical viewpoint. This book examines decision-making in multiparty politics. It also covers interest groups, electoral cycles and a formal discussion of the `general will`.

Автор: Fuad T. Aleskerov
Название: Arrovian Aggregation Models
ISBN: 0792384512 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780792384519
Издательство: Springer
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Цена: 20733.00 р.
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Описание: Investigates three formulations of the aggregation problem according to the form in which the individual opinions about the alternatives are defined, as well as to the form of desired social decision. This book offers a description of the problem of axiomatic synthesis of local rules.

Автор: Kirchler
Название: Conflict and Decision Making in Close Relationships
ISBN: 113887728X ISBN-13(EAN): 9781138877283
Издательство: Taylor&Francis
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Цена: 9186.00 р.
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Описание: Love and money are important aspects of the everyday lives of couples. This book focuses on the daily routines of disagreement, conflict and joint decisions that these, and other issues such as work, leisure and children, create in a household.

Автор: Forsyth, Donelson
Название: Making Moral Judgments
ISBN: 0367355728 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780367355722
Издательство: Taylor&Francis
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Цена: 23734.00 р.
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Описание: This book examines diversity in moral judgements, drawing on recent work in social, personality, and evolutionary psychology. The author explores morality using ethics position theory alongside other theoretical perspectives in moral psychology, showing how it can relate to contemporary social issues from abortion to premarital sex to human rights.

Автор: Forsyth Donelson
Название: Making Moral Judgments
ISBN: 0367370832 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780367370831
Издательство: Taylor&Francis
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Цена: 7501.00 р.
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Описание: This book examines diversity in moral judgements, drawing on recent work in social, personality, and evolutionary psychology. The author explores morality using ethics position theory alongside other theoretical perspectives in moral psychology, showing how it can relate to contemporary social issues from abortion to premarital sex to human rights.

Автор: Weber Elke U., Baron Jonathan, Loomes Graham
Название: Conflict and Tradeoffs in Decision Making
ISBN: 0521772389 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780521772389
Издательство: Cambridge Academ
Цена: 17424.00 р.
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Описание: What makes some decisions easy and others difficult? Research in judgment and decision making indicates that conflict plays a decisive role in decision-making processes. The essays in this book address questions about the causes of conflict and its effects on decision making and emotions, particularly regret.

Автор: N.J. Saam; B. Schmidt
Название: Cooperative Agents
ISBN: 9048159024 ISBN-13(EAN): 9789048159024
Издательство: Springer
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Цена: 17074.00 р.
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Описание: Agent-based modelling on a computer appears to have a special role to play in the development of social science. What are the sociological concepts of norms and norm processing that could either be used for planned implementation or for identifying equivalents of social norms among co-operative agents?

Автор: Shapira
Название: Organizational Decision Making
ISBN: 0521890500 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780521890502
Издательство: Cambridge Academ
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Цена: 8237.00 р.
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Описание: This book offers a more realistic account of decision making in organizations by highlighting several aspects such as the salience of incentives, the pervasiveness of conflict, and the role that power and politics play in organizational decision making.

Название: Judgment and Decision Making
ISBN: 1138003271 ISBN-13(EAN): 9781138003279
Издательство: Taylor&Francis
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Цена: 9033.00 р.
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Описание: An up-to-date and comprehensive overview of the neo-Brunswikian and process-tracing approaches to research on judgment and decision making.